Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.139612 0.153877 0.168487 0.184542 0.201656 0.219325 0.238915
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.123819 0.146415 0.170678 0.198529 0.229471 0.262657 0.300797
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.111076 0.139721 0.171758 0.209895 0.253704 0.302114 0.359304
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.096314 0.128438 0.165748 0.211644 0.265933 0.327480 0.401888
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.081981 0.115766 0.156462 0.208087 0.270815 0.343580 0.433354
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.075299 0.111550 0.156548 0.215061 0.287677 0.373423 0.480861
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068771 0.106719 0.155191 0.219698 0.301322 0.399265 0.523693
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062491 0.101504 0.152746 0.222458 0.312284 0.421681 0.562425
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056397 0.095906 0.149248 0.223388 0.320593 0.440646 0.596929
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.055759 0.097879 0.155832 0.237549 0.345934 0.481033 0.658259
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051528 0.094213 0.154366 0.240729 0.356921 0.503394 0.697342
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048826 0.092560 0.155503 0.247289 0.372291 0.531381 0.743693
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044383 0.088096 0.152694 0.248726 0.381471 0.552374 0.782607
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043091 0.088552 0.157069 0.260376 0.404727 0.592119 0.846265
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041801 0.088882 0.161216 0.271768 0.427838 0.632035 0.910722
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038099 0.084800 0.158397 0.272890 0.436679 0.653135 0.950929
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033438 0.078581 0.151870 0.268229 0.437208 0.663050 0.976545
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032018 0.077980 0.154051 0.276410 0.455794 0.697235 1.034252
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030149 0.076367 0.154478 0.281880 0.470549 0.726381 1.085569
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028006 0.074014 0.153531 0.285145 0.482112 0.751257 1.131415
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025652 0.070999 0.151281 0.286243 0.490456 0.771748 1.171536
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026213 0.073877 0.159055 0.303107 0.521993 0.824411 1.255239
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.024526 0.071978 0.158548 0.306885 0.534356 0.850714 1.303693